Home > Federal, Liberals > An Outsider’s Quick Look At The Potential Liberal Leadership Contenders

An Outsider’s Quick Look At The Potential Liberal Leadership Contenders

October 23, 2008

I know it’s early, and anything could happen between now and the Liberal Leadership convention, but I’d thought it’d be interesting to have a look at some of the potential leadership contentions and the dyamic they would bring to the Liberal leadership race.

Frank McKenna: Probably would get the nod if he ran. Probably won’t.

John Manley: I could see him winning if he decided to run, coming up through the middle as a compromise candidate between Iggnatieff and Rae.

Michael Iggnatieff: If none of the big names that have been skipping these leadership opportunities run, I can see Iggy winning this one. Why? Because I don’t see Rae winning (see below) and the other potential candidates would probably be too weak.

Bob Rae: Look, most of the Liberals’ seats right now are in Ontario. Electing Bob Rae would be a recipe for throwing away most of those seats. As well, the economy is the big issue right now; the attack adds write themselves. I don’t see the Liberals choosing him.

Gerard Kennedy: I think the best choice for Kennedy is to sit this one out, gain more notoriety, and time from his choices from the last leadership, where he crowned Dion. On a positive note, he does seem to have some fire in his belly in regards to the renewal of the Liberal party issue.

Anyone from Quebec: With the vast majority of modern Liberal leaders coming from Quebec, I would say that the Liberals would want to choose somebody from somewhere else, thus putting anyone from Quebec at a large disadvantage in the race. Not to mention that the last leader was Quebec and didn’t really improve the situation there, while the non-Quebecois leader of the Conservative party has made gains (not as much as he would like, though).

Ruby Dhalla: Probably doesn’t have a chance at winning this time, but running would proably result in increased notoriety, setting the stage for higher positions and another leadership run.

Martha Hall Findlay: Should probably sit this one out to get more experience; the only thing that has really changed is that she now has a seat. If both Dhalla and Hall Findlay ran, Dhalla would probably eat into Hall Findlay’s campaign.

Jack Layton: The messiah that would never get elected by the Liberals, Layton has a history of boosting the seats of the party he leads by 285%, which would put the Liberals at 216 seats in 5 years.

Jack Layton, Liberal Leader

(Leader of the NDP if Jack Won)

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Categories: Federal, Liberals
  1. October 23, 2008 at 8:21 pm

    I kind of like Kennedy, young and some charisma, which goodness know we are lacking. Obama has charisma

  2. November 17, 2008 at 10:26 am

    I always wondered what Jack would look like without his ‘stache…now I know. And I dislike it.

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