Home > Federal, Liberals > Carbon Poll Excitement: I Guess For The Liberals, Mass Indecision Is Victory…

Carbon Poll Excitement: I Guess For The Liberals, Mass Indecision Is Victory…

June 24, 2008

I must say, I’m finding the reaction in regards to the Harris/Decima poll on the Federal Liberal Carbon Tax rather interesting. Reading the Liberal partisans, one would think they won a major victory.

First of all, declaring victory on the first poll might be kinda premature.

But the more interesting stuff comes from reading the poll itself more closely.

This was the question asked to poll respondents first:

This week, the federal Liberal Party announced its new environmental policy. Based on what you have seen, read or heard do you think this is a policy that you will strongly support, support, oppose or strongly oppose or have you not heard enough to form an opinion yet?

Support 14%, Oppose 17%, Have Not Heard Enough 64%

So, it seems right now that the majority of Canadians are undecided about the Federal Liberal Carbon Tax as of now. Not exactly a ringing endorsement.

But the next question asked is interesting, and this is the part that the Liberals are excited about:

The Liberals are calling their policy a Green Shift.  The main elements are putting a tax on carbon and greenhouse gas emissions, and using the money raised by this tax to reduce income and other taxes, to provide financial support for those less well off, and to invest in green technologies.  The tax increases will be phased in over four years and will not apply to gasoline. Based on this description would you say this is a policy you strongly support, support, oppose or strongly oppose?

Support 47%, Oppose 39%, Don’t Know/No Response 14%

The response, from the Liberal point of view, is much better.

However, the key is this: are voters at large going to have that description/question in their minds when they actually make a decision on the Federal Liberal Carbon Tax?  Considering that, away from the phone and in the real world, there will be plenty of groups providing their own description of the policy, probably not.

All this poll is really saying, in my mind, if the Liberals are effective in communicating their Carbon Tax in such a way that voters define the policy in similar terms as the description in the poll, then they can win the debate and gain support.

If.

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Categories: Federal, Liberals
  1. June 24, 2008 at 12:17 pm

    “All this poll is really saying, in my mind, if the Liberals are effective in communicating their Carbon Tax in such a way that voters define the policy in similar terms as the description in the poll, then they can win the debate and gain support.”

    Yes, that’s all it’s really saying. There is an openness to fthe concept, but that doesn’t guarantee anything in the long term. That’s all you can ask for at this point, and don’t misunderstand, nobody is claiming a major “victory”, just a good sign. If my particular post seemed a tad exuberent, it was mostly in reaction to the Conservatives fear mongering attempt.

  2. Northern BC Dipper
    June 24, 2008 at 1:09 pm

    Steve V,

    Yeah, maybe “victory” was the wrong word. I was trying trying to get at something like “disproportionate excitement” or something like that.

    That and I was trying to get a bit of a partisan shot in 😉 .

  3. June 24, 2008 at 1:57 pm

    “disproportionate excitement”…. very good description

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