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Alberta Goes To The Polls

February 4, 2008

It looks like Albertans are going to the polls March 3rd.

I’d guess that the election campaign of the political parties in this election is going to matter a little more than most campaigns.  This is because, in the polls, around 27% of surveyed were undecided.

Of course, the question is: what will the undecideds do? Stay at home, thus giving victory to the Progressive Conservatives? Stick with the incumbent? Switch to an opposition party?  I think it really depends if one of the opposition parties strike an large chord with one of the issues during the election campaign.  Of course, knock-out strikes, and for that matter, election campaigns, are hard to predict.

Unfortunately, if I had to bet money, I’d say that the Progressive Conservatives are heading for another victory.  Luckily, politics is hard to predict and I don’t have any money riding on the result.

  1. February 5, 2008 at 4:52 am

    Even a minority for the Conservatives would be a huge shift here! Also, in an FPTP system, it’s more important to look at seats in play than at popular vote. Pretty much all of the urban seats are in play for either the NDP or the Liberals, and of course, the Wild Rose Alliance party is acting as a spoiler in the rural areas. This election will be when they either become a player or die out, IMO.

  2. February 5, 2008 at 3:52 pm

    I think most of the undecided stay that way on election day and don’t go vote.

  1. March 4, 2008 at 12:32 am
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